Is Julio Rodriguez the Next Stolen Base King?

Is Julio Rodriguez the Next Stolen Base King?

There are some extremely statistical outlays in the history of sports. From Wilt Chamberlain, who averaged 48.5 minutes per game in the 1961-62 season (only 48 minutes in an NBA game), to Wayne Gretzky, who had so many supporters that he had a career in the NHL. Points will be leaders even if they have it. Never scored, some stars have kept records out of reach so far that it seems pointless to discuss them.

Ricky Henderson, a well-traveled wanderer who often found his way back to Auckland, was on that route with stolen bases. And as a popular Twitter account Super 70s Sports Noted on ThursdayHenderson started as an MLB leader at Steels on May 12, 1982 – with 35.

It’s a number that sounds ridiculous the more you look at it. Last year, only two players were successful in stealing a lot of bases throughout the season. In 2019, only five players arrived. Henderson, who was on track to steal a record 130 in 172 attempts in 1982, averaged more per game in mid-May. It was so uncontrollable that it would put an end to any debate on a stolen basis.

If you can adjust your basic stealing expectations to modern reality, however, the Seattle Mariners’ Julio Rodriguez has made an impressive start to his rookie season. He and the Mariners will begin a series against the first-placed Mets at City Field on Friday night, and the first in 11 attempts with 10 steels in the main league, 21-year-old Rodríguez, 50 or more. At the pace of becoming a player. One season since Dee Strange-Gordon was 60 in 2017.

Could Rodriguez be the future of baseball, as he boldly suggested earlier this season? Absolutely. Could he be a torchbearer for Henderson and the game’s other big stolen base threats? Not if he maintains his current hot streak on the plate.

Rodríguez’s transition to majors was difficult at first. After the loss on April 29, it was hitting .211 with .550 on base plus slugging percentage. He mitigated those bad results a bit by attacking defensive efforts and baseballs: through 19 games, he had the league’s main nine stealth bases. Since then, his most valuable capabilities have emerged on the plate, with 835 OPS in 12 games – but he’s only stolen another base.

It’s too early to tell how things will work out for a young player like Rodriguez. But in the current environment, it is surprising for a player who can kill, especially one who can kill for power like Rodriguez, to focus on it instead of looking for ways to create crime through the bases of theft. Which is not

In the 1980’s, the nightmares of the pitcher were filled with images of Tim Reynolds, Vance Coleman or Henderson, who had a long lead at the first base. But in recent years, players with a combination of speed and large-scale stealing knowledge have also taken a different path. From focusing on Mike Trout’s own strengths to trying to save Trey Turner’s own body from disintegration, the game’s best base thieves have moved away from what used to be a highly marketable skill.

Overall, teams are stealing an average of 0.49 games this season, which is lighter than last year, but it will also be the fourth season in a row that the average is less than 0.5. This is 0.85 below the modern peak of a game in 1987 – the era of Rennes, Coleman and Henderson. During the season, the seemingly small part may increase. Last season the Kansas City Royals led the MLB with 124 steels. In 1987, Average The team stole 138 and the Colemans Cardinals outscored the majors by 248.

Major League Baseball has identified a lack of theft as a problem. One player takes off for another, sends a shock to the crowd, makes a great game with a few solo home runs and a dozen strikeouts. The MLB, therefore, as it has experienced at the level of the minor leagues, prefers to look for ways to encourage running, such as limiting the number of pitcher rubber landings in one league and pick-offs in the other. The pitcher needs to be removed from the rubber before attempting.

Even so, owning one is still beyond the reach of the average person. As we wait to see if the MLB’s actions can do any harm, it is worth remembering that baseball has a statistical flow and that we are not really within the range of stolen bases. ۔

There are only six seasons in which a major league average was less than 0.3 per game theft, and all six occurred between 1949 and 1956. In 1957, Washington’s senators set a really dubious record, stealing only 13 bases as a team. 154 games. To make matters worse, he was caught stealing 38 times.

A year later, Henderson was born in Chicago and will steal a record 1,406 bases.

And it was hardly just Henderson. After this low point in the 1950s, the recovery of stolen bases was surprisingly rapid. In 1958, Willie May of the San Francisco Giants led the Majors with just 31 steels. By 1962, the Los Angeles Dodgers were replacing the Mori Wells game – and setting a new record with 104.

Thefts occurred so frequently that in 1976, 10 players had 50 or more in a single season, and the average number of burglaries per game was 0.7 – this number would rise for 22 consecutive seasons.

In that sense, it is not possible for him to return to the bases of theft, but he will need only one player who wants to do it and a team is not asking him to stop. Can be resurrected from there.

If that happened then Henderson wouldn’t have to worry about his record.

If Rodríguez, or anyone else, reaches 50 in a single season, he can repeat that feat for 28 consecutive seasons and still have six less to tie Henderson. It’s not impossible, of course, but like the Chamberlain and Gretzky feats, it’s a record that it’s best not to spend too much time considering whether anyone can threaten it.

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